Skip to main content

ECB Will Stick With Its Bad-Loan Proposal That Italy Opposed - Bloomberg

The ECB was accused of overreach in its recent proposal to hold banks to firm deadlines for writing down loans that turn sour.
The draft guidance requires banks to provision fully for loans that turn sour from the start of next year, with a two year deadline for unsecured nonperforming debt and seven years for secured. Many of the 19 countries represented on the ECB Supervisory Board support a similar approach to existing bad debt, though they’re mindful of the potential economic damage that could result from forcing banks into rapid writedowns, the people said.
The ECB’s draft guidance was published on Oct. 4. Officials in Italy, whose banks are weighed down by 318 billion euros ($379 billion) of bad loans, lined up to challenge it, with Finance Minister Pier Carlo Padoan warning that forcing banks to dispose of soured debt too quickly could “derail” a recovery in the country’s financial system.

Source: ECB Will Stick With Its Bad-Loan Proposal That Italy Opposed - Bloomberg

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio - Bridgewater

Source: How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio

Letter: Why the geopolitics of international currency choice matters - FT

This coincidence must alert readers that a tempest is brewing on subjects noted: lurking inflation, increasing debt, suppressed interest rates and the shifting of hegemonic power.  There are only two important questions in investing that also apply to subjects impacting the future stability of the world — tell me why and tell me when.  Plender gives us the “why”, the ever-increasing “intolerable burden” of government debt and suppressed rates leveraging the global financial system. He gives us the tipping point.  What we await is “the when”, as in when do we know we have “tipped”.  Paul Hackett Madison,  NJ, US    Letter: Why the geopolitics of international currency choice matters

Enough cool heads are pulling back from the brink - John Authers - Bloomberg

  Beyond the duration of the shock, we also need to monitor the impact on central banks and on the macroeconomy. Societe Generale’s Manish Kabra lays out the criteria as follows: An exogenous shock lasts beyond a week, but oil spikes usually peak in three months. That’s the timeline and only two things matter: 1) shock duration and 2) the Fed’s reaction function. Alternatively, Henry Allen of Deutsche Bank suggests that for a risk-off bear market to follow an oil shock, three conditions need to be met: 1. Large and sustained oil price spike: An oil price spike of at least +50-100% that is sustained over several months. 2. Hawkish policy response: The shock forces a sharp, hawkish pivot from central banks to fight the resulting inflation (e.g. 1979, 2022). 3. Broader macro damage: The shock is big enough to tip an already-slowing economy into recession.   Iran Oil Panic: Enough Cool Heads Are Pulling Back From the Brink - Bloomberg