Skip to main content

Goldman: The Last Time This Happened Was Just Months Before The Start Of The Great Depression - Zerohedge


In other words, one would have to go back to some time in early 1929 to be looking at the kind of returns that a balanced "60/40" portfolio is generating today.  In fact, the current period of staggering returns without a 10% total drawdown is now 8.7 years. How long was the comparable period in the 1928s? 9.1 years. Which means that if history is any guide, the second great depression is just around the corner.
 
Source: Goldman: The Last Time This Happened Was Just Months Before The Start Of The Great Depression

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Letter: Why the geopolitics of international currency choice matters - FT

This coincidence must alert readers that a tempest is brewing on subjects noted: lurking inflation, increasing debt, suppressed interest rates and the shifting of hegemonic power.  There are only two important questions in investing that also apply to subjects impacting the future stability of the world — tell me why and tell me when.  Plender gives us the “why”, the ever-increasing “intolerable burden” of government debt and suppressed rates leveraging the global financial system. He gives us the tipping point.  What we await is “the when”, as in when do we know we have “tipped”.  Paul Hackett Madison,  NJ, US    Letter: Why the geopolitics of international currency choice matters

How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio - Bridgewater

Source: How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio

Best of the week - FT

  Bondi attacks show old hatreds are flourishing again — Stephen Bush The worried investor’s guide to 2026 — Katie Martin We urgently need to rebalance EU-China relations — Emmanuel Macron The argument Iranians have in private — Najmeh Bozorgmehr The hard politics of climate overshoot — Pilita Clark