Skip to main content

"This Is The Broadest Episode Of Extreme Equity Market Overvaluation In History" - Zerohedge

Indeed, with median valuations on these measures now more than 2.7 times their historical norms, there is strong reason to expect a market loss on the order of -63% over the completion of the current market cycle; a decline that would not even bring valuations below their historical norms (which we’ve typically seen by the completion of nearly every market cycle outside of the 2002 low).
"...unlike the 2000 valuation extreme, which was largely focused on a subset of extremely overvalued technology stocks, the current market extreme is the broadest episode of extreme equity market overvaluation in history. The chart below shows the median price/revenue ratio of S&P 500 component stocks, which set yet another record high in the week ended November 3, 2017, and now stands more than 50% above the 2000 extreme."

Source: "This Is The Broadest Episode Of Extreme Equity Market Overvaluation In History"

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Letter: Why the geopolitics of international currency choice matters - FT

This coincidence must alert readers that a tempest is brewing on subjects noted: lurking inflation, increasing debt, suppressed interest rates and the shifting of hegemonic power.  There are only two important questions in investing that also apply to subjects impacting the future stability of the world — tell me why and tell me when.  Plender gives us the “why”, the ever-increasing “intolerable burden” of government debt and suppressed rates leveraging the global financial system. He gives us the tipping point.  What we await is “the when”, as in when do we know we have “tipped”.  Paul Hackett Madison,  NJ, US    Letter: Why the geopolitics of international currency choice matters
Post a Comment
Read more

How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio - Bridgewater

Source: How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
Post a Comment
Read more

Best of the week - FT

  Bondi attacks show old hatreds are flourishing again — Stephen Bush The worried investor’s guide to 2026 — Katie Martin We urgently need to rebalance EU-China relations — Emmanuel Macron The argument Iranians have in private — Najmeh Bozorgmehr The hard politics of climate overshoot — Pilita Clark
Post a Comment
Read more